Risk management with Kelly Criterion
The Kelly criterion, sometimes referred to as the Kelly formula specifies the percentage of the current bankroll to be bet at each iteration of the game. This method is also useful in Forex, Stock Gold and other trading too. In addition to maximizing the growth rate in the long run, the formula has the added benefit of having zero risk of ruin; the formula will never allow a loss of 100 of the bankroll on any bet. An assumption of the formula is that currency and bets are infinitely divisible, though this is met for practical purposes if the bankroll is large enough.The equation: f*=(b*p-q)/bf* = fraction of current bankroll to wager; b = odds received on the wager; p = winning probability; q = losing probability= 1
About the Author
I'm a fund manager and economist of Private-Investment.biz. Visit their website at: http://www.private-investment.biz
Tell others about
this page:
Comments? Questions? Email Here