Hillary Clinton at the top : few explications part 2

First woman or first black man at the top of the world

First woman or first black man at the top of the world [performance management] [HR management]

Step 2: The national conventions

The candidate from each party was officially designated during the Been before the presidential election, at the National Convention of each party. These are the delegates elected in each state during the primary vote.

In fact, this is only second formal election as delegates committed during the primary for a candidate. The name of the final candidate is known in March, when all the primaries are over. The latter then designates his running mate, which postulera during the presidential election for the post of vice-chairman.

A very long campaign This year's campaign for the inauguration will be unusually long in the two camps. "So it usually starts in the summer of the year before the presidential campaign began, this time in November 2006, because of the importance of such arguments, especially on the situation in Iraq," says Vincent Michelot, a professor of American studies at Sciences Po Lyon and author of the book The Emperor of the White House (Armand Colin, 2004). Aurélie Blondel The Democrats are full of dollars

No program at the moment, candidates for the nomination are in the process of "name recognition" phase in which they must make themselves known. Their success is measured in the polls, but by the money they collect. "The amount of donations does not necessarily mean a campaign more effective, but shows the candidate's ability to convince," says Pierre Drai, President of the Center for Transatlantic Studies.

Already this campaign for the inauguration promises to be the most expensive in history. The Federal Election Commission has indeed to the accounts and published the donations collected in the first quarter of 2007 by each of the declared candidates. Here are the results.

The major Democratic candidates

• Hillary Clinton, 60 years, 26 million dollars. The wife of former president (they met at Yale University) is Senator from the State of New York. Trained as a lawyer, she was known for holding strongly to the left and an intense struggle for women's rights. She has tried for several years to adopt a more centrist posture. His initial support for the Iraq war may harm in a context of a challenge of increasing the commitment of the United States.

• Barack Obama, 46 years, 25 million dollars. The senator from Illinois, whose father was Kenyan, was the fifth African-American to the Senate. Grand speaker, a graduate of Harvard Law, he supported locally measures broadening the coverage of the poorest and support for homosexuals. The constancy of his opposition to the war in Iraq serves today.

• John Edwards, 54 years, 14 million dollars. He was already a candidate in 2004 face including John Kerry. The former senator from North Carolina was also counsel for consumers in major lawsuit against the tobacco companies.

• Bill Richardson, 60-year, 6 million dollars. Hispanic (Mexican mother), Governor of New Mexico, he is best known for its international experience. He has been ambassador to the United Nations.

In the running among Republicans

The campaign among Republicans began more slowly. "It's hard for them because they must position itself in relation to the White House, they will have to enter into a phase of criticism against the Bush administration," says Pierre Drai.

• Rudy Giuliani, 63 years, 15 million dollars. It derives its popularity of its action when he was mayor New York, including its handling of the aftermath of 11 September and his fight against insecurity and corruption. Divorced, supports abortion and gay claims, it is distinguished from positions of the more conservative wing of the party.

• John Mc Cain, 71 years, 13 million dollars. Senator of Arizona, and often unclassifiable Uncontrollably in his party, he has often opposed George Bush is but one of the few to have argued in its decision to increase the number of GIs in Iraq. If elected President, he would be the oldest player to view this feature.

• Mitt Romney, 60 years, 21 million dollars. Mormon senator from Massachusetts and organizer of the Olympic Games in Salt Lake City in 2002, it points to third place in the polls.

Candidates have not yet declared all. Among Democrats, the possibility of a candidate Al Gore, the loser of the presidential 2000, is not ruled out. Among Republicans, some hope the Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice. Aurélie Blondel aurelie@plusnews.fr The figures

26 million dollars Hillary Clinton has a record 31 million dollars, 26 of which raised between the launch of the campaign in late January and late March. The campaign treasury of his rival Barack Obama stands at 25.8 million dollars, of which 25 harvested in three months. Thanks to the Internet, it shows 100000 donors, compared with 60000 for the Clinton clan. As for John Edwards, he has gathered that 10.7 million dollars.

24.8 million $ Yet, if we talk about money reserved for the primary, Obama came first. He earned 24.8 million dollars for the primary and 25.8 million in the first quarter 2007. In all, Hillary has collected more money (26 million dollars), but only 19.1 million dollars can be spent during the campaign to the inauguration. The remainder may be used for the presidential campaign, where Obama was nominated by his party.

The stars spend 2300 $ Obama In 2004, John Kerry and George Bush had raised 250 million dollars. According to experts, this time applicants should bring $ 1 billion until the first primary in January 2008. Actors George Clooney, Matt Damon or Ben Affleck attended the evening given by the director Steven Spielberg in honor of Barack Obama. They have paid their entry ticket 2300 $. This is the maximum amount of support to a candidate authorized by law for individuals.

30% of the votes for Hillary Clinton Among Democrats, a poll conducted by CNN Opinion Research Corporation conducted from 10 to 12 April, shows 30% of voting intentions to Hillary Clinton, in the lead despite a decline of 7% compared to March. The senator from Illinois Barack Obama wins 4 points from 22% to 26%. Al Gore and John Edwards recorded 15% and 12%. Republican side, with 27% of the votes, the former Mayor of New York Rudolph Giuliani, is the first despite a decline of 7 points. John McCain, long considered a favorite, is lagging behind (24% of intentions), followed by the actor Fred Thomson (11%) and Mitt Romney (10%).

50.73% for Bush in 2004 George Bush won the presidential election in 2004 with 50.73% of the vote against 48.27% for Democrat John Kerry. The other candidates have registered scores residual: 0.38% for the Independent Ralph Nader, 0.32% for the Libertarian Michael Badnarick, 0.1% for the Green David Cobb. A black or a woman in the White House?

For the first time, a woman-Hillary Clinton-and a man of color-Barack Obama - are well placed to reach the White House. Both compete for some months already for the investiture of their camp, the Democratic Party. These are the American voters who will decide during the primary early next year, which oppose the Republican candidate for the presidential election in November 2008.

Even nine months before the first vote Polls give at the moment Hillary Clinton in the lead. It collects 30% of voting intentions early April (read 'Data'), just ahead of Barack Obama-26%. But its lead s'émiette in recent months, while its competitor earns points.

The other declared Democratic candidates are fairly far behind, but the primary would begin in January next year, as recalled Meredith Le Goff, the representative in France of candidate Bill Richardson (read 'Facts'). "At the last race at the inauguration in 2004, recalls, Howard Dean has long been favorite and few people bets on John Kerry, who finally won the primary. "The result will depend on the context in nine months , including the evolving situation in Iraq, which is currently the focus of American policy.

Meredith Le Goff: "A Mexican in the White House? " Not a revolution, a logical development A President black or a woman would not constitute a revolution in American society. "In the United States, the political representation of women and communities is far more advanced than in France," says Vincent Michelot, a professor of American studies at Sciences Po Lyon. This is not a peculiarity of the Democratic camp: among Republicans, candidates from former Secretary of State Colin Powell and his successor in that post, Condoleezza Rice, were considered.

"Most Americans do not consider applicants on the basis of their color or their sex, says Zachari Miller, organizer of the campaign in France for Barack Obama. After two terms Bush, they simply say 'this time elect someone intelligent. " Good for the international image

Both candidates did not insist in their campaign on their gender or their color, "says Vincent Michelot," they rely instead on a strategy for losing not to alienate a portion of the electorate. " Unlike Jessie Jackson, an African-American Democrat who has introduced three times for the investiture (1984, 1988 and 2004), Barack Obama is not his belonging to the black community an important point in his application. "At a time when the country's image has been degraded, a 'ticket' femme-noir to the presidency and vice-presidency of the United States in any case would send a very positive message for the image of the United States around the world adds Chip Seward, which organizes support for Hillary Clinton in Europe.

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